Short-term PV Power Prediction Model Based on VMD-CNN-IBiLSTM

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Because PV power’s generation is unpredictable, so timely and accurate prediction of power has great practical significance research value for daily grid dispatch system security. The combined forecast model presented in our study dependent on variational modal decomposition-convolutional neural network-improved bidirectional long short-term memory network (VMD-CNN-IBiLSTM) with as the object. uses VMD to decompose sequences, thus reducing non-smoothness sequences; CNN extract essential features information; BiLSTM peephole connections learn forward backward temporal data; genetic algorithm enhance model’s variables. For validation, actual data from Australian DKASC testbed are used. According experimental findings, study’s more precise than classical BP network, SVM model, LSTM at making predictions.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Prediction Model Based on an FOS-ELM Algorithm

With the increasing proportion of photovoltaic (PV) power in power systems, the problem of its fluctuation and intermittency has become more prominent. To reduce the negative influence of the use of PV power, we propose a short-term PV power prediction model based on the online sequential extreme learning machine with forgetting mechanism (FOS-ELM), which can constantly replace outdated data wi...

متن کامل

mortality forecasting based on lee-carter model

over the past decades a number of approaches have been applied for forecasting mortality. in 1992, a new method for long-run forecast of the level and age pattern of mortality was published by lee and carter. this method was welcomed by many authors so it was extended through a wider class of generalized, parametric and nonlinear model. this model represents one of the most influential recent d...

15 صفحه اول

An Optimized Prediction Intervals Approach for Short Term PV Power Forecasting

High quality photovoltaic (PV) power prediction intervals (PIs) are essential to power system operation and planning. To improve the reliability and sharpness of PIs, in this paper, a new method is proposed, which involves the model uncertainties and noise uncertainties, and PIs are constructed with a two-step formulation. In the first step, the variance of model uncertainties is obtained by us...

متن کامل

A Model for Short-term Fluctuation of Total Generation of Multiple Pv Power Stations

Recently, a large number of photovoltaic (PV) power stations has been connected to power systems. Penetration of PV power stations may give some impacts on balancing between supply and demand in power systems. The representative impact is frequency variation which is caused by short-term fluctuations in power outputs from PV stations. Therefore, its investigation and evaluation are important be...

متن کامل

Short term electric load prediction based on deep neural network and wavelet transform and input selection

Electricity demand forecasting is one of the most important factors in the planning, design, and operation of competitive electrical systems. However, most of the load forecasting methods are not accurate. Therefore, in order to increase the accuracy of the short-term electrical load forecast, this paper proposes a hybrid method for predicting electric load based on a deep neural network with a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of physics

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['0022-3700', '1747-3721', '0368-3508', '1747-3713']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/2532/1/012013